{"id":865,"date":"2013-12-18T02:28:12","date_gmt":"2013-12-18T00:28:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/?p=865"},"modified":"2015-04-21T01:18:51","modified_gmt":"2015-04-20T23:18:51","slug":"anything-can-happen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/anything-can-happen\/","title":{"rendered":"Anything can happen"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Recently in the comments section of this column, a loyal reader asked: &#8220;What is the next big, <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dce6fa\">bleeding-edge<\/span> thing?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>We are confronted with bleeding-edge things all the time that are changing our lives in one way or another. Mobile phones and the Internet \u2014 and the combination of the two \u2014 are good examples. <a title=\"Rise of the machines (Mike Pilewski)\" href=\"\/blog\/rise-of-the-machines\" target=\"_blank\">Robotic assistants<\/a> are helping out on the battlefields. <a title=\"Why not print it? (Spotlight Online)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.spotlight-online.de\/news\/technology\/why-not-print-it\" target=\"_blank\">3-D printing<\/a> offers lots of possibilities. And now <a title=\"The Snowden paradox\" href=\"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/the-snowden-paradox\/\">the NSA<\/a> is able to store and <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dce87b\">sift through<\/span> private information about everyone on the planet. Predictions made in the 1980s about life today missed every one of these fundamental changes.<\/p>\n<p>Some of the things that were supposed to be part of our lives <a title=\"Welcome to tomorrow (Mike Pilewski)\" href=\"\/blog\/welcome-to-tomorrow\" target=\"_blank\">never materialized<\/a> \u2014 how about those electric cars? \u2014 while others (driverless cars, hypersonic planes, orbiting hotels, the &#8220;Hyperloop&#8221;) are pie in the sky that someone would like to build just as soon as someone else finds the money for them.<\/p>\n<p>So I can&#8217;t say for certain which category this latest idea falls into. If it materializes, however, it could change lots of things about the way we live.<\/p>\n<p>The idea is drone delivery. Amazon wants to use what are basically toy helicopters to deliver packages to customers. In this way, goods weighing up to 2.3 kilograms could arrive at a customer&#8217;s doorstep within 30 minutes of an order being placed.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/98BIu9dpwHU?rel=0\" width=\"420\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"tooltip5522f32dcec60\">On the face of it<\/span>, this is an obvious move that could deliver (sorry) so much convenience. The logical next step from <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dcf04d\">instantaneous<\/span> access to information is near-instantaneous access to goods. Order an item when you know you&#8217;ll be at home, and just wait a few minutes for it to <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dcf42f\">touch down<\/span> in your front yard. Pizza-delivery services will <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dcf855\">be kicking themselves<\/span> for not thinking of this first.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;From a technology point of view, we&#8217;ll be ready to enter commercial operations as soon as the necessary regulations are in place,&#8221; Amazon <a title=\"Amazon Prime Air\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/b?ref_=tsm_1_tw_s_amzn_mx3eqp&amp;node=8037720011\" target=\"_blank\">says on its website<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"tooltip5522f32dcfc0b\">Therein lies the rub.<\/span> The people who wrote our current laws did not see this coming. All sorts of questions will have to be answered. What <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd07bc\">altitude<\/span> and <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd1371\">routes<\/span> will the drones be allowed to fly? How will they navigate? How will they avoid <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd17d2\">obstacles<\/span>, such as <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd1de3\">power lines<\/span>, vehicles, and <a title=\"Drone crashed, almost hit me, says Manhattan businessman (Cnet.com)\" href=\"http:\/\/news.cnet.com\/8301-17852_3-57605708-71\/drone-crashed-almost-hit-me-says-manhattan-businessman\/\" target=\"_blank\">humans<\/a>? Who will be <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd1f2c\">liable<\/span> in the event of collision, damage, injury, theft, or sabotage? Will the drones have cameras on them to help find the address and record the delivery? What will stop the drones from flying past your third-story window and <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd231d\">taking a peek<\/span> inside? Will some kind of <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd29d4\">air-traffic control system<\/span> need to be set up if lots of companies start using drones? How noisy will the drones, and swarms of drones, be? What if people don&#8217;t want them?<\/p>\n<p><object id=\"otvPlayer\" width=\"400\" height=\"268\"><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http:\/\/cdn.abclocal.go.com\/static\/flash\/embeddedPlayer\/swf\/otvEmLoader.swf?version=fw1000&amp;station=wabc&amp;section=&amp;mediaId=9270819&amp;cdnRoot=http:\/\/cdn.abclocal.go.com&amp;webRoot=http:\/\/abclocal.go.com&amp;configPath=\/util\/&amp;site=\" \/><param name=\"allowScriptAccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"allowNetworking\" value=\"all\" \/><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed src=\"http:\/\/cdn.abclocal.go.com\/static\/flash\/embeddedPlayer\/swf\/otvEmLoader.swf?version=fw1000&amp;station=wabc&amp;section=&amp;mediaId=9270819&amp;cdnRoot=http:\/\/cdn.abclocal.go.com&amp;webRoot=http:\/\/abclocal.go.com&amp;configPath=\/util\/&amp;site=\" id=\"otvPlayer\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allownetworking=\"all\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" height=\"268\" width=\"400\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m afraid that last question won&#8217;t be answered. The drones are coming. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has already <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd2af3\">issued<\/span> about 1,400 <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd2ed0\">permits<\/span> for police and government agencies to use drones within the US. Commercial use is expected to be approved in the United States and Australia as early as 2015, and in Europe by 2016. The skies could soon be filled with them.<\/p>\n<p>Convenience has its <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd32fe\">merits<\/span>, as does <span id=\"tooltip5522f32dd36a5\">law enforcement<\/span>, but the opening up of the vertical space in our towns and cities may open up a Pandora&#8217;s box as well. Are we ready for the future? All we know for certain is that anything can happen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recently in the comments section of this column, a loyal reader asked: &#8220;What is the next big, bleeding-edge thing?&#8221; We are confronted with bleeding-edge things all the time that are changing our lives in one way or another. Mobile phones and the Internet \u2014 and the combination of the two \u2014 are good examples. Robotic assistants are helping out on <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/anything-can-happen\/\">&#8230; >><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[81],"tags":[72,79,82],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/865"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=865"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/865\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1283,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/865\/revisions\/1283"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=865"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=865"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=865"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}