{"id":678,"date":"2010-06-23T01:49:15","date_gmt":"2010-06-22T23:49:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/?p=678"},"modified":"2015-04-27T21:36:20","modified_gmt":"2015-04-27T19:36:20","slug":"waiting-for-the-winds-of-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/waiting-for-the-winds-of-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Waiting for the winds of change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Earlier this month, a news <span id=\"tooltip5520782303f33\">headline<\/span> caught my eye: Kim Yong-il had stepped down! Finally, the <span id=\"tooltip5520782304319\">winds of change<\/span> had reached the <span id=\"tooltip5520782304700\">distant shores<\/span> of <b>North Korea<\/b>. Finally, its <span id=\"tooltip5520782304ae8\">self-imposed<\/span> isolation might end. Finally, there was a chance that the last <span id=\"tooltip5520782304ed1\">relics<\/span> of the Cold War would be swept away.<\/p>\n<p>Only it turned out that the story was about Kim Yong-il, the premier, not <b>Kim Jong-il<\/b>, the &#8220;Dear Leader&#8221;. <span id=\"tooltip55207823052b8\">A word to the wise<\/span>: if you want to be taken seriously abroad, don&#8217;t give all your leaders the same name. One Kim Jong-il, like one George Bush, is enough.<\/p>\n<div class=\"simplePullQuote right\"><p>One Kim Jong-il, like one George Bush, is enough<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Anyway, after months of ill health, &#8220;Jong&#8221; is still <span id=\"tooltip55207823056a0\">in charge<\/span>, and has been appearing in public again. Besides continuing to build <span id=\"tooltip5520782305a88\">nuclear weapons<\/span>, he&#8217;s recently allowed the <span id=\"tooltip5520782305e71\">detention<\/span> and imprisonment of <a title=\" North Korea jails US citizen (Al Jazeera)\" href=\"http:\/\/english.aljazeera.net\/news\/asia-pacific\/2010\/04\/20104754931388398.html\" target=\"_blank\">several American citizens<\/a> (said to have entered the country illegally) and the sinking of a <a title=\"Why Would North Korea Sink a South Korean Warship? (The Atlantic)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/international\/archive\/2010\/05\/why-would-north-korea-sink-a-south-korean-warship\/57089\/\" target=\"_blank\">South Korean battleship<\/a> (which North Korea denies).<\/p>\n<p>Although he&#8217;s a distant threat to the United States \u2014 his <span id=\"tooltip5520782306258\">missiles<\/span>, if they worked properly, could just about reach Alaska \u2014 Kim is a real threat to the <b>28,000 US troops<\/b> stationed in South Korea. Eight years after (the younger) Bush&#8217;s &#8220;<span id=\"tooltip5520782306641\">Axis of Evil<\/span>&#8221; speech, America still considers him one of the world&#8217;s main <span id=\"tooltip5520782306a28\">bogeymen<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"tooltip5520782306e12\">Lest we forget<\/span>, Friday, June 25 is the 60th anniversary of the start of the <b>Korean War<\/b>, in which 37,000 Americans and more than two million Koreans died. In South Korea, they call it the 6\/25 war (after the date). In North Korea, it was the Fatherland Liberation War (led by Kim&#8217;s father, Kim Il-sung). But no matter what it&#8217;s called, the war hasn&#8217;t ended. The fighting ended with an <span id=\"tooltip55207823071f8\">armistice<\/span>, not a <span id=\"tooltip55207823075e5\">peace treaty<\/span>.<\/p>\n<h2>World Cup parallels<\/h2>\n<p>Recent days have allowed us to spot parallels between North Korea&#8217;s performance at the <span id=\"tooltip55207823079c8\">soccer World Cup<\/span> and its performance in international politics. In both, the North has been playing a mostly defensive game. Its players spent almost all their time close together on their own side of the field. But there were <span id=\"tooltip5520782307db3\">random<\/span> attacks as well. At <span id=\"tooltip5520782308198\">unpredictable<\/span> intervals, a <span id=\"tooltip5520782308580\">lone<\/span> player boldly rushed toward the opponent&#8217;s <span id=\"tooltip5520782308968\">goal posts<\/span>. <span id=\"tooltip5520782308d51\">Collectively<\/span>, it was as though the North Koreans didn&#8217;t understand the game. They kept passing the ball sideways across the field instead of advancing toward a goal.<\/p>\n<div class=\"simplePullQuote right\"><p>It was as though they didn&#8217;t understand the game<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>British <span id=\"tooltip5520782309138\">bookmakers<\/span> had given North Korea <span id=\"tooltip5520782309520\">odds<\/span> of <b>2,000 to 1<\/b> to win the championship. I&#8217;d say those are about the same odds of North Korea doing anything constructive.<\/p>\n<p>Although&#8230; there has been a <span id=\"tooltip5520782309908\">nod<\/span> to private enterprise in the capital of this <span id=\"tooltip5520782309cf0\">secretive<\/span> monarchy. In 2008, Kim Jong-il <span id=\"tooltip552078230a0d8\">revived<\/span> his father&#8217;s <span id=\"tooltip552078230a4bf\">white elephant<\/span>, a <b>105-story hotel<\/b> whose unfinished <span id=\"tooltip552078230ac91\">hull<\/span> has dominated the skyline of Pyongyang since 1987. At one point, <span id=\"tooltip552078230b077\">construction<\/span> of the building consumed two percent of the country&#8217;s <span id=\"tooltip552078230b460\">GDP<\/span>. But instead of using local resources to finish it, Kim <a title=\"Will 'Hotel of Doom' ever be finished? (BBC)\" href=\"http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/2\/hi\/asia-pacific\/8306697.stm\" target=\"_blank\">invited Egyptian company Orascom<\/a> to do the job. Orascom will then be given an exclusive license to construct a 3G <b>mobile-phone network<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube-nocookie.com\/embed\/8KxgDN2mmIg\" width=\"420\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>What will North Korea be like when even a few of its people have smartphones? Kim Jong-il&#8217;s strongest <span id=\"tooltip552078230b847\">trait<\/span> has been his unpredictability. The odds are still 2,000 to 1, <span id=\"tooltip552078230bc30\">given<\/span> all the <span id=\"tooltip552078230c017\">saber-rattling<\/span>, but reform by any other name would smell as sweet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Earlier this month, a news headline caught my eye: Kim Yong-il had stepped down! Finally, the winds of change had reached the distant shores of North Korea. Finally, its self-imposed isolation might end. Finally, there was a chance that the last relics of the Cold War would be swept away. Only it turned out that the story was about Kim <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/waiting-for-the-winds-of-change\/\">&#8230; >><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[34,29,66,62],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=678"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1657,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678\/revisions\/1657"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=678"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=678"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/fascinating-america.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=678"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}